MLB · Sun, Sep 27, 2:30 PM ET

Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies

Tampa Bay Rays

Philadelphia Phillies

PHI -207 · O/U 6.5

Peek grade

The Gist

Under 6.5, with Wheeler on the mound against a Rays side missing McClanahan.

▸Phillies at -207 imply roughly a 67% win probability, so the moneyline asks you to pay heavy juice for a side that has to do the work.
▸Zack Wheeler against Nick Martinez gives Philadelphia the clear pitching edge on paper, which supports the favorite but doesn't make the price cheap.
▸Tampa Bay is without Shane McClanahan (Out) and a long list of arms on the 60-Day-IL, which points toward a lower-scoring game at a 6.5 total.

AI-generated from live data — entertainment only, not advice or a claim of accuracy.

The Gist

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Pitcher strikeouts, total bases, hits and home runs

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The Gist

Under 6.5, with Wheeler on the mound against a Rays side missing McClanahan.

▸Phillies at -207 imply roughly a 67% win probability, so the moneyline asks you to pay heavy juice for a side that has to do the work.
▸Zack Wheeler against Nick Martinez gives Philadelphia the clear pitching edge on paper, which supports the favorite but doesn't make the price cheap.
▸Tampa Bay is without Shane McClanahan (Out) and a long list of arms on the 60-Day-IL, which points toward a lower-scoring game at a 6.5 total.

AI-generated from live data — entertainment only, not advice or a claim of accuracy.